https://github.com/stan-dev/stancon_talks/tree/master/2018-helsinki/Contributed-Talks/braylan

Abstract

introduction

holiday effect function

simulated data

modeling main points

stan model

diagnostics

real data

keyword: chocolate, last minute gift, fireworks, turkey, pumpkn, pumpkin spice

simpler models

keyword: pumpkin – simplified model

keyword: pumpkin spice – simplified model

conclusion